TY - JOUR AU - Conlon,Christopher T. AU - Mortimer,Julie Holland TI - Demand Estimation Under Incomplete Product Availability JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14315 PY - 2008 Y2 - September 2008 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14315 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14315.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Christopher Conlon Department of Economics Columbia University 420 W. 118th St. New York City, NY 10027 E-Mail: cc3264@columbia.edu Julie H. Mortimer Department of Economics Boston College 140 Commonwealth Avenue Chestnut Hill, MA 02467 Tel: 617-552-3676 Fax: 617-552-2308 E-Mail: julie.mortimer.2@bc.edu AB - Incomplete product availability is an important feature of many markets; ignoring changes in availability may bias demand estimates. We study a new dataset from a wireless inventory system installed on 54 vending machines to track product availability every four hours. The data allow us to account for product availability when estimating demand, and provides a valuable source of variation for identifying substitution patterns. We develop a procedure that allows for changes in product availability even when availability is only observed periodically. We find significant differences in demand estimates, with the corrected model predicting significantly larger impacts of stock-outs on profitability. ER -