TY - JOUR AU - Dynarski,Susan AU - Scott-Clayton,Judith E. TI - Complexity and Targeting in Federal Student Aid: A Quantitative Analysis JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 13801 PY - 2008 Y2 - February 2008 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13801 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w13801.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Susan Dynarski University of Michigan Weill Hall 735 South State Street Ann Arbor, MI 48109-3091 Tel: 734 615 5113 Fax: NA E-Mail: dynarski@umich.edu Judith Scott-Clayton Harvard University Kennedy School of Government 79 JFK Street Cambridge, MA 02138 E-Mail: jscottc@nber.org M1 - published as Susan M. Dynarski, Judith E. Scott-Clayton. "Complexity and Targeting in Federal Student Aid: A Quantitative Analysis," in James M. Poterba, editor, "Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 22" University of Chicago Press (2008) M2 - featured in NBER digest on 2008-10-01 AB - A growing body of empirical evidence shows that some financial aid programs increase college enrollment. Puzzlingly, there is little compelling evidence that Pell Grants and Stafford Loans, the primary federal student aid programs, are effective in achieving this goal. In this paper, we provide an in-depth review of this evidence, which taken as a whole suggests that complexity and uncertainty in the federal aid system undermine its efficacy. We document complexity in the aid system, comparing it in particular to complexity in the tax system. We build on our previous work by showing that complexity in the aid process does little to improve the targeting of both student loans and grants, for both dependent and independent students. We conclude that the current targeting of aid can be reproduced with a much simpler aid process. While we show that the targeting benefits of complexity are small, we further document that the costs are large. We offer new estimates of the compliance costs faced by applicants and the administrative costs borne by the government and colleges. These costs total at least $4 billion per year. The perspective of behavioral economics suggests that the true cost is even higher, since complexity and uncertainty may discourage the target population from applying for student aid. ER -