TY - JOUR AU - Bloom,David E. AU - Canning,David AU - Mansfield,Rick AU - Moore,Michael TI - Demographic Change, Social Security Systems, and Savings JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12621 PY - 2006 Y2 - October 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12621 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12621.pdf N1 - Author contact info: David E. Bloom Harvard School of Public Health Department of Global Health and Population 665 Huntington Ave. Boston, MA 02115 Tel: 617/432-0866 Fax: 617/432-6733 E-Mail: dbloom@hsph.harvard.edu David Canning Harvard School of Public Health Department of Global Health and Population 665 Huntington Ave. Boston, MA 02115 Tel: 617/432-6336 Fax: 617/566-0365 E-Mail: dcanning@hsph.harvard.edu Richard K. Mansfield 10 Lodge Way, Ithaca, NY 14850 E-Mail: richard.mansfield@cornell.edu Michael J. Moore Queens University, Belfast E-Mail: m.moore@qub.ac.uk AB - In theory, improvements in healthy life expectancy should generate increases in the average age of retirement, with little effect on savings rates. In many countries, however, retirement incentives in social security programs prevent retirement ages from keeping pace with changes in life expectancy, leading to an increased need for life-cycle savings. Analyzing a cross-country panel of macroeconomic data, we find that increased longevity raises aggregate savings rates in countries with universal pension coverage and retirement incentives, though the effect disappears in countries with pay-as-you-go systems and high replacement rates. ER -