TY - JOUR AU - Fryer,Roland G., Jr. TI - Belief Flipping in a Dynamic Model of Statistical Discrimination JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12174 PY - 2006 Y2 - April 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12174 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12174.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Roland G. Fryer, Jr Department of Economics Harvard University Littauer Center 208 Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/495-9592 Fax: 617/495-8570 E-Mail: rfryer@fas.harvard.edu AB - The literature on statistical discrimination shows that ex-ante identical groups may be differentially treated in discriminatory equilibria. This paper constructs a dynamic model of statistical discrimination and explores what happens to the individuals who nonetheless overcome the initial discrimination. If an employer discriminates against a group of workers in her initial hiring, she may actually favor the successful members of that group when she promotes from within the firm. The worker's welfare implications (i.e. who benefits from an employer's discriminatory hiring practices) are unclear. Even though agents face discrimination initially, some may be better off because of it. ER -