TY - JOUR AU - Jagannathan,Ravi AU - Malakhov,Alexey AU - Novikov,Dmitry TI - Do Hot Hands Exist Among Hedge Fund Managers? An Empirical Evaluation JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 12015 PY - 2006 Y2 - February 2006 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12015 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w12015.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Ravi Jagannathan Kellogg Graduate School of Management Northwestern University 2001 Sheridan Road Leverone/Anderson Complex Evanston, IL 60208-2001 Tel: 847/491-8338 Fax: 847/491-5719 E-Mail: rjaganna@northwestern.edu Alexey Malakhov College of Business University of Arkansas Tel: 479-575-6118 E-Mail: malakhov@walton.uark.edu Dmitry Novikov Goldman, Sachs & Co. E-Mail: dmitry.novikov@gs.com AB - We examine whether hot hands exist among hedge fund managers. In measuring performance persistence, we use hedge fund style benchmarks. This allows us to identify managers with valuable skills, and also to control for option-like features inherent in returns from hedge fund strategies. We take into account the possibility that reported asset values may be based on stale prices. We develop a statistical model that relates a hedge fund’s performance to its decision to liquidate or close in order to infer the performance of a hedge fund that left the database. While we find significant performance persistence among superior funds we find little evidence of persistence among inferior funds. ER -