NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Consequences and Predictors of New Health Events

James P. Smith

NBER Working Paper No. 10063*
Issued in November 2003
NBER Program(s):   AP

Smith uses the HRS and AHEAD panels to examine the consequences of new health on a series of SES related outcomes- out-of-pocket labor supply, labor force activity, household income and wealth. For each of these outcomes, new severe health events have a significant effect although most of the impact on income and wealth takes place through labor supply and not not medical expenses. The paper also examines the ability of different measures of SES to predict the future onset of disease. The author finds no predictive effect of income or wealth but education does predict future onset even after controlling for current health status. The reasons for this continuing predictive effect of education are explored in the paper.

*Published: This paper was subsequently published as Consequences and Predictors of New Health Events, James Smith, in NBER book Analyses in the Economics of Aging (2005)

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