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NBER Working Papers

Papers are available on-line in PDF format when listed on this page. We recommend using the latest version of Adobe Reader, which can be downloaded free of charge from Adobe's Web site. Hard copy Working Papers are available by mail within a few weeks of their electronic release.

• Macroeconomic Crises since 1870
  Robert J. Barro and José F. Ursúa #13940 (EFG, ME, PE, AP)
  
• Endogenous Variety and the Gains from Trade
  Costas Arkolakis, Svetlana Demidova, Peter J. Klenow, and Andrés Rodríguez-Clare #13933 (ITI)
  

• Too Young to Leave the Nest: The Effects of School Starting Age
  Sandra E. Black, Paul J. Devereux, and Kjell G. Salvanes #13969 (CH, ED, LS)
  
• National Cultures and Soccer Violence
  Edward Miguel, Sebasti?n M. Saiegh, and Shanker Satyanath #13968 (EFG, LE, POL)
  
• Moral Hazard vs. Liquidity and Optimal Unemployment Insurance
  Raj Chetty #13967 (EFG, LS, PE)
  
• Optimal Life-Cycle Investing with Flexible Labor Supply: A Welfare Analysis of Life-Cycle Funds
  Francisco J. Gomes, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, and Luis M. Viceira #13966 (AG, AP, PE)
  
• Pass-Through in Retail and Wholesale
  Emi Nakamura #13965 (IFM, IO, ME)
  
• Conflict and Deterrence under Strategic Risk
  Sylvain Chassang and Gerard Padro i Miquel #13964 (POL)
  
• China's Local Comparative Advantage
  James Harrigan and Haiyan Deng #13963 (ITI)
  
• Derivatives Markets for Home Prices
  Robert J. Shiller #13962 (AP)
  
• Institutions and Contract Enforcement
  Armin Falk, David Huffman, and W. Bentley MacLeod #13961 (LE, LS)
  
• Contracting in the Shadow of the Law
  Surajeet Chakravarty and W. Bentley MacLeod #13960 (LE, LS)
  
• The Inside Scoop: Acceptance and Rejection at the Journal of International Economics
  Ivan Cherkashin, Svetlana Demidova, Susumu Imai, and Kala Krishna #13957 (ITI)
  
• The Struggle for Palestinian Hearts and Minds: Violence and Public Opinion in the Second Intifada
  David A. Jaeger, Esteban F. Klor, Sami H. Miaari, and M. Daniele Paserman #13956 (PE, POL)
  
• Competing Liquidities: Corporate Securities, Real Bonds and Bubbles
  Emmanuel Farhi and Jean Tirole #13955 (EFG, PE)
  
• Neuroeconomics: A Sober (but Hopeful) Appraisal
  B. Douglas Bernheim #13954 (PE)
  
• Did Wages Reflect Growth in Productivity?
  Martin S. Feldstein #13953 (EFG, LS, PR)
  
• Resolving the Global Imbalance: The Dollar and the U.S. Saving Rate
  Martin S. Feldstein #13952 (IFM, ITI)
  
• Beyond Signaling and Human Capital: Education and the Revelation of Ability
  Peter Arcidiacono, Patrick Bayer, and Aurel Hizmo #13951 (ED, LS)
  
• Trevor Swan And The Neoclassical Growth Model
  Robert W. Dimand and Barbara J. Spencer #13950 (EFG)
  
• Nonparametric Identification and Estimation in a Generalized Roy Model
  Patrick Bayer, Shakeeb Khan, and Christopher Timmins #13949 (LS, TWP)
  
• Globalization, Macroeconomic Performance, and Monetary Policy
  Frederic S. Mishkin #13948 (EFG, ME, IFM)
  
• Life Expectancy and Human Capital Investments: Evidence From Maternal Mortality Declines
  Seema Jayachandran and Adriana Lleras-Muney #13947 (CH, HE, ED)
  
• The Forgotten History of Domestic Debt
  Carmen M. Reinhart and Kenneth S. Rogoff #13946 (IFM, PE)
  
• Bribery or Just Desserts? Evidence on the Influence of Congressional Voting Patterns on PAC Contributions from Exogenous Variation in the Sex Mix of Legislator Offspring
  Dalton Conley and Brian J. McCabe #13945 (PE, POL)
  
• Do Funds-of-Funds Deserve Their Fees-on-Fees?
  Andrew Ang, Matthew Rhodes-Kropf, and Rui Zhao #13944 (AP)
  
• A Black Swan in the Money Market
  John B. Taylor and John C. Williams #13943 (AP, EFG, IFM, ME)
  
• Exporting Deflation? Chinese Exports and Japanese Prices
  David Weinstein and Christian Broda #13942 (ITI)
  
• Consistent Cell Means for Topcoded Incomes in the Public Use March CPS (1976-2007)
  Jeff Larrimore, Richard V. Burkhauser, Shuaizhang Feng, and Laura Zayatz #13941 (LS, PE, TWP)
  
• Portraits of the Artist: Personal Visual Art in the Twentieth Century
  David W. Galenson #13939 (LS)
  
• The Dynamics of the Transfer and Renewal of Patents
  Carlos J. Serrano #13938 (PR)
  
• The Impact of Athletic Performance on Alumni Giving: An Analysis of Micro Data
  Jonathan Meer and Harvey S. Rosen #13937 (ED, PE)
  
• The Consequences of Mortgage Credit Expansion: Evidence from the 2007 Mortgage Default Crisis
  Atif Mian and Amir Sufi #13936 (CF)
  
• Effect of Employer Access to Criminal History Data on the Labor Market Outcomes of Ex-Offenders and Non-Offenders
  Keith Finlay #13935 (LS)
  
• Econometric Causality
  James J. Heckman #13934 (LS, PE)
  

• Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence
  Alan S. Blinder, Michael Ehrmann, Marcel Fratzscher, Jakob De Haan , and David-Jan Jansen #13932 (ME)
  
• Training Disadvantaged Youth in Latin America: Evidence from a Randomized Trial
  Orazio Attanasio, Adriana Kugler, and Costas Meghir #13931 (EFG, LS, PE)
  
• Brand Names Before the Industrial Revolution
  Gary Richardson #13930 (DAE, IO)
  
• The Retirement Consumption Puzzle: Actual Spending Change in Panel Data
  Michael D. Hurd and Susann Rohwedder #13929 (AG)
  
• Is Marriage Always Good for Children? Evidence from Families Affected by Incarceration
  Keith Finlay and David Neumark #13928 (CH, LS)
  
• Climate Economics: A Meta-Review and Some Suggestions
  Geoffrey Heal #13927 (EEE, PE)
  
• Affirmative Action in Education: Evidence From Engineering College Admissions in India
  Marianne Bertrand, Rema Hanna, and Sendhil Mullainathan #13926 (ED, LS)
  

• Interest Rates and the Exchange Rate: A Non-Monotonic Tale
  Viktoria Hnatkovska, Amartya Lahiri, and Carlos A. Vegh #13925 (IFM)
  
• Inflation and Unemployment in the Long Run
  Aleksander Berentsen, Guido Menzio, and Randall Wright #13924 (EFG, LS, ME)
  
• How Costly is Diversity? Affirmative Action in Light of Gender Differences in Competitiveness
  Muriel Niederle, Carmit Segal, and Lise Vesterlund #13923 (LS)
  
• Gender Differences in Seeking Challenges: The Role of Institutions
  Muriel Niederle and Alexandra H. Yestrumskas #13922 (LS)
  
• Current Account Patterns and National Real Estate Markets
  Joshua Aizenman and Yothin Jinjarak #13921 (ITI, IFM)
  
• Assessing Job Flows Across Countries: The Role of Industry, Firm Size and Regulationsv
  John Haltiwanger, Stefano Scarpetta, and Helena Schweiger #13920 (EFG, LS)
  
• Women's Liberation: What's in It for Men?
  Matthias Doepke and Michele Tertilt #13919 (DAE, ED, EFG, POL)
  
• The "Thin Film Of Gold": Monetary Rules and Policy Credibility In Developing Countries
  Niall Ferguson and Moritz Schularick #13918 (DAE, ITI, IFM, ME)
  
• The Effect of Medicare Part D on Pharmaceutical Prices and Utilization
  Mark Duggan and Fiona Scott Morton #13917 (HC, IO, PE)
  
• Nearly Optimal Pricing for Multiproduct Firms
  Chenghuan Sean Chu, Phillip Leslie, and Alan Sorensen #13916 (IO)
  
• A Theory of Military Dictatorships
  Daron Acemoglu, Davide Ticchi, and Andrea Vindigni #13915 (EFG, POL)
  
• Innocents Abroad: The Hazards of International Joint Ventures with Pyramidal Group Firms
  Susan Perkins, Randall Morck, and Bernard Yeung #13914 (CF)
  
• Tariffs, Trains, and Trade: The Role of Institutions versus Technology in the Expansion of Markets
  Wolfgang Keller and Carol H. Shiue #13913 (DAE, IFM, ITI)
  
• The Nature of Credit Constraints and Human Capital
  Lance J. Lochner and Alexander Monge-Naranjo #13912 (ED, EFG, LS, PE)
  
• Policy Uncertainty and Precautionary Savings
  Francesco Giavazzi and Michael McMahon #13911 (IFM, EFG, PE)
  
• The Dynamic Behavior of the Real Exchange Rate in Sticky Price Models
  Jon Steinsson #13910 (IFM, ME)
  
• The Euro May Over the Next 15 Years Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Currency
  Menzie D. Chinn and Jeffrey A. Frankel #13909 (IFM)
  
• Why do Foreigners Invest in the United States?
  Kristin J. Forbes #13908 (CF, IFM, ITI)
  
• Ideology
  Roland B?nabou #13907 (EFG, POL)
  
• Current Account Dynamics and Monetary Policy
  Andrea Ferrero, Mark Gertler, and Lars E.O. Svensson #13906 (EFG, IFM, ME)
  

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