@inbook{NBERc0711,
 Crossref = "NBERmoor83-1",
 title = "Forecasting Short-Term Economic Change",
 author = "Geoffrey H. Moore",
 BookTitle = "Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed.",
 Publisher = "Ballinger",
 pages = "401-432",
 year = "1983",
 URL = "http://www.nber.org/chapters/c0711",
}
@book{NBERmoor83-1,
 title = "Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting, 2nd ed.",
 author = "Geoffrey H. Moore",
 institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research",
 type = "Book",
 publisher = "Ballinger",
 year = "1983",
 URL = "http://www.nber.org/books/moor83-1",
}