Will China Eat Our Lunch or Take Us to Dinner? Simulating the Transition Paths of the United States, the European Union, Japan, and China

Hans Fehr, Sabine Jokisch, and Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Fiscal Policy and Management in East Asia (University of Chicago Press, 2007), chap. 5, https://www.nber.org/books-and-chapters/fiscal-policy-and-management-east-asia/will-china-eat-our-lunch-or-take-us-dinner-simulating-transition-paths-united-states-european-union.