@techreport{NBERw9974, title = "The Conditional CAPM does not Explain Asset-Pricing Anamolies", author = "Jonathan Lewellen and Stefan Nagel", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "9974", year = "2003", month = "September", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w9974", abstract = {Recent studies suggest that the conditional CAPM might hold, period-by-period, and that time-varying betas can explain the failures of the simple, unconditional CAPM. We argue, however, that significant departures from the unconditional CAPM would require implausibly large time-variation in betas and expected returns. Thus, the conditional CAPM is unlikely to explain asset-pricing anomalies like book-to-market and momentum. We test this conjecture empirically by directly estimating conditional alphas and betas from short-window regressions (avoiding the need to specify conditioning information). The tests show, consistent with our analytical results, that the conditional CAPM performs nearly as poorly as the unconditional CAPM.}, }