NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Trade Policy and Industrial Sector Responses: Using Evolutionary Models to Interpret the Evidence

Erkan Erdem, James Tybout

NBER Working Paper No. 9947
Issued in September 2003
NBER Program(s):   ITI   PR

Firm- and plant-level empirical studies typically find that trade liberalization squeezes price-cost margins among import-competing firms, that this heightened competitive pressure induces productivity gains among these same firms, and that further efficiency gains come from market share reallocations. Using a computable industrial evolution model to simulate the dynamic effects of import competition, we demonstrate what types of managerial behavior, long-term transition paths and welfare effects are consistent with this set of stylized facts.

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Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w9947

Published: Collins, S. and D. Rodrik (eds.) Brookings Trade Forum 2003. Washington, D.C.: The Brookings Institution, 2004.

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