TY - JOUR AU - Pastor,Lubos AU - Veronesi,Pietro TI - Stock Prices and IPO Waves JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9858 PY - 2003 Y2 - July 2003 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9858 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9858.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Lubos Pastor University of Chicago Booth School of Business 5807 South Woodlawn Ave Chicago, IL 60637 Tel: 773/834-4080 Fax: NA E-Mail: lubos.pastor@chicagobooth.edu Pietro Veronesi University of Chicago Booth School of Business 5807 South Woodlawn Avenue Chicago, IL 60637 Tel: 773/702-6348 Fax: 773/702-0458 E-Mail: pietro.veronesi@chicagobooth.edu AB - We develop a model of stock valuation and optimal IPO timing when investment opportunities are time-varying. IPO waves in our model are caused by declines in expected returns, increases in expected profitability, or increases in prior uncertainty about average profitability. The model predicts that IPO waves are preceded by high market returns, followed by low market returns, and accompanied by high stock prices. These as well as other predictions are supported empirically. Stock prices at the peak of the recent bubble', which was associated with an IPO wave, are consistent with plausible parameter values in our rational valuation model. ER -