TY - JOUR AU - Cecchetti,Stephen G. AU - Kim,Junhan TI - Inflation Targeting, Price-Path Targeting and Output Variability JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9672 PY - 2003 Y2 - May 2003 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9672 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9672.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Stephen G. Cecchetti Monetary and Economic Department Bank for International Settlements Centralbahnplatz 2 4002 Basel SWITZERLAND Tel: +41 61 280 8350 Fax: +41 61 280 9113 E-Mail: stephen.cecchetti@bis.org M1 - published as Stephen G. Cecchetti, Kim. "Inflation Targeting, Price-Path Targeting, and Output Variability," in Ben S. Bernanke and Michael Woodford, editors, "The Inflation-Targeting Debate" University of Chicago Press (2005) AB - The dramatic improvement in macroeconomic outcomes during the 1990s - stable, low inflation and high, stable growth - can be at least partly ascribed to improved monetary policy. Central banks became more independent and many of them adopted inflation targeting. This paper examines the potential for further improvements by refining the concept of inflation targeting. We construct a general model that encompasses a broad array of possible target regimes, and apply it to the data. Our results suggest that the vast majority of countries could benefit from moving to pricepath targeting, where the central bank makes up for periods of above (below) target inflation with later periods of below (above) target inflation. ER -