TY - JOUR AU - Borenstein,Severin AU - Rose,Nancy L. TI - Do Airline Bankruptcies Reduce Air Service? JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9636 PY - 2003 Y2 - April 2003 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9636 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9636.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Severin Borenstein Haas School of Business University of California, Berkeley Berkeley, CA 94720-1900 Tel: 510/642-3689 E-Mail: borenste@haas.berkeley.edu Nancy L. Rose National Bureau of Economic Research 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617-613-1246 E-Mail: nrose@mit.edu AB - The airline industry's current financial crisis has raised concerns over the ramifications of airline bankruptcies for air service and the economy. Such bankruptcies, however, nearly always occur when demand is weak, and, thus, when even healthy airlines are inclined to reduce flights. Moreover, from a consumer and policy perspective, the real concern is total air service offered, not the number of flights offered by a particular airline. We study all major U.S. airline bankruptcies since 1984 in order to estimate the effect of bankruptcy on air service, controlling for demand fluctuations and recognizing that competing airlines may increase service in response to a reduction in flights by a bankrupt airline. We do not find substantial effects of bankruptcy on flights offered or destinations served at large and small airports, but do find an impact at medium sized airports. We estimate, however, that service changes due to bankruptcy are not large in comparison to typical quarter-to-quarter fluctuations in service that occur at airports in the absence of carrier bankruptcies. ER -