TY - JOUR AU - Brown,Stephen J. AU - Goetzmann,William N. AU - Hiraki,Takato AU - Shirishi,Noriyoshi AU - Watanabe,Masahiro TI - Investor Sentiment in Japanese and U.S. Daily Mutual Fund Flows JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9470 PY - 2003 Y2 - February 2003 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9470 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9470.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Stephen J. Brown Stern School of Business New York University New York, NY 10012 Tel: 718 273 0317 Fax: 718 981 7239 E-Mail: sbrown@stern.nyu.edu William N. Goetzmann School of Management Yale University Box 208200 New Haven, CT 06520-8200 Tel: 203/432-5950 Fax: 203/432-3003 E-Mail: william.goetzmann@yale.edu Masahiro Watanabe Rice University E-Mail: watanabe@rice.edu AB - We find evidence that is consistent with the hypothesis that daily mutual fund flows may be instruments for investor sentiment about the stock market. We use this finding to construct a new index of investor sentiment, and validate this index using data from both the United States and Japan. In both markets exposure to this factor is priced, and in the Japanese case, we document evidence of negative correlations between Bull' and Bear' domestic funds. The flows to bear foreign funds in Japan display some evidence of negative correlation to domestic and foreign equity funds, suggesting that there is a foreign vs. domestic sentiment factor in Japan that does not appear in the contemporaneous U.S. data. By contrast, U.S. mutual fund investors appear to regard domestic and foreign equity mutual funds as economic substitutes. ER -