TY - JOUR AU - Goldstein,Itay AU - Razin,Assaf TI - An Information-Based Trade Off Between Foreign Direct Investment and Foreign Portfolio Investment: Volatility, Transparency, and Welfare JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9426 PY - 2003 Y2 - January 2003 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9426 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9426.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Itay Goldstein Wharton School University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, PA 19104 E-Mail: itayg@wharton.upenn.edu Assaf Razin Department of Economics Cornell University Uris 422 Ithaca, NY 14853 Tel: 607/255-9625 Fax: 607/255-2818 E-Mail: ar256@cornell.edu AB - The paper develops a model of foreign direct investments (FDI) and foreign portfolio investments. FDI is characterized by hands-on management style which enables the owner to obtain relatively refined information about the productivity of the firm. This superiority, relative to portfolio investments, comes with a cost: A firm owned by the relatively well-informed FDI investor has a low resale price because of a lemons' type asymmetric information between the owner and potential buyers. Consequently, investors, who have a higher (lower) probability of getting a liquidity shock that forces them to sell early, will invest in portfolio (direct) investments. This result can explain the greater volatility of portfolio investments relative to direct investments. Motivated by empirical evidence, we show that this pattern may be weaker in developed economies that have higher levels of transparency in the capital market and better corporate governance. We also study welfare implications of the model. ER -