TY - JOUR AU - Mankiw,N. Gregory AU - Reis,Ricardo TI - What Measure of Inflation Should a Central Bank Target? JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9375 PY - 2002 Y2 - December 2002 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9375 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9375.pdf N1 - Author contact info: N. Gregory Mankiw Department of Economics Littauer 223 Harvard University Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/495-4301 Fax: 617/495-7730 E-Mail: ngmankiw@fas.harvard.edu Ricardo Reis Department of Economics, MC 3308 Columbia University 420 West 118th Street, Rm. 1022 IAB New York NY 10027 Tel: 212-851-4007 Fax: 212-854-8059 E-Mail: rreis@columbia.edu AB - This paper assumes that a central bank commits itself to maintaining an inflation target and then asks what measure of the inflation rate the central bank should use if it wants to maximize economic stability. The paper first formalizes this problem and examines its microeconomic foundations. It then shows how the weight of a sector in the stability price index depends on the sector's characteristics, including size, cyclical sensitivity, sluggishness of price adjustment, and magnitude of sectoral shocks. When a numerical illustration of the problem is calibrated to U.S. data, one tentative conclusion is that a central bank that wants to achieve maximum stability of economic activity should use a price index that gives substantial weight to the level of nominal wages. ER -