TY - JOUR AU - Rodrik,Dani AU - Subramanian,Arvind AU - Trebbi,Francesco TI - Institutions Rule: The Primacy of Institutions over Geography and Integration in Economic Development JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9305 PY - 2002 Y2 - November 2002 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9305 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9305.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Dani Rodrik John F. Kennedy School of Government Harvard University 79 JFK Street Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/495-9454 Fax: 617/496-5747 E-Mail: dani_rodrik@harvard.edu Arvind Subramanian Peterson Institute for International Economics 1750 Massachusetts Ave, NW Washington, DC 20036 E-Mail: asubramanian@piie.com Francesco Trebbi University of British Columbia 1873 East Mall Vancouver, BC, V6T1Z1 Canada Tel: 604.218.5900 Fax: 604.822.5915 E-Mail: ftrebbi@mail.ubc.ca AB - We estimate the respective contributions of institutions, geography, and trade in determining income levels around the world, using recently developed instruments for institutions and trade. Our results indicate that the quality of institutions trumps' everything else. Once institutions are controlled for, measures of geography have at best weak direct effects on incomes, although they have a strong indirect effect by influencing the quality of institutions. Similarly, once institutions are controlled for, trade is almost always insignificant, and often enters the income equation with the wrong' (i.e., negative) sign, although trade too has a positive effect on institutional quality. We relate our results to recent literature, and where differences exist, trace their origins to choices on samples, specification, and instrumentation. ER -