TY - JOUR AU - Rose,Andrew K. AU - Spiegel,Mark M. TI - A Gravity Model of Sovereign Lending: Trade, Default and Credit JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9285 PY - 2002 Y2 - October 2002 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9285 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9285.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Andrew K. Rose Haas School of Business Administration University of California, Berkeley Berkeley, CA 94720-1900 Tel: 510/642-6609 Fax: 510/642-4700 E-Mail: arose@haas.berkeley.edu Mark M. Spiegel Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 101 Market Street San Francisco, CA 94105 E-Mail: mark.spiegel@sf.frb.org AB - One reason why countries service their external debts is the fear that default might lead to shrinkage of international trade. If so, then creditors should systematically lend more to countries with which they share closer trade links. We develop a simple theoretical model to capture this intuition, then test and corroborate this idea. ER -