TY - JOUR AU - Ball,Laurence TI - Short-Run Money Demand JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9235 PY - 2002 Y2 - September 2002 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9235 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9235.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Laurence M. Ball Department of Economics Johns Hopkins University Baltimore, MD 21218 Tel: 410/516-7605 Fax: 410/516-7600 E-Mail: lball@jhu.edu AB - The paper estimates a long-run demand function for M1, using U.S. data for 1959-1993. This paper interprets deviations from this long-run relation with Goldfeld's partial adjustment model. A key innovation is the choice of the interest rate in the money demand function. Most previous work uses a short-term market rate, but this paper uses the average return on near monies' close substitutes for M1 such as savings accounts and money market mutual funds. This approach yields a predicted path of M1 velocity that closely matches the data. The volatility of velocity after 1980 is explained by volatility in the returns on near monies. ER -