@techreport{NBERw9235, title = "Short-Run Money Demand", author = "Laurence Ball", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "9235", year = "2002", month = "September", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w9235", abstract = {The paper estimates a long-run demand function for M1, using U.S. data for 1959-1993. This paper interprets deviations from this long-run relation with Goldfeld's partial adjustment model. A key innovation is the choice of the interest rate in the money demand function. Most previous work uses a short-term market rate, but this paper uses the average return on near monies' close substitutes for M1 such as savings accounts and money market mutual funds. This approach yields a predicted path of M1 velocity that closely matches the data. The volatility of velocity after 1980 is explained by volatility in the returns on near monies.}, }