A Brazilian Debt-Crisis Model

Assaf Razin, Efraim Sadka

NBER Working Paper No. 9211
Issued in September 2002
NBER Program(s):   IFM

We develop a model that captures important features of debt crises of the Brazilian type. Its applicability to Brazil lies in the fact that (1) in Brazil the macro fundamentals were sound (e.g., a primary surplus, a relatively low debt/GDP ratio, etc.); and (2) in the Brazilian case the trigger appears to be the forthcoming elections, with an expected regime change.

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