TY - JOUR AU - Bernard,Andrew B. AU - Jensen,J. Bradford AU - Schott,Peter K. TI - Survival of the Best Fit: Competition from Low Wage Countries and the (Uneven) Growth of US Manufacturing Plants JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9170 PY - 2002 Y2 - September 2002 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9170 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9170.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Andrew B. Bernard Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth 100 Tuck Hall Hanover, NH 03755 Tel: 603/646-0302 Fax: 603/646-0995 E-Mail: Andrew.B.Bernard@dartmouth.edu J. Bradford Jensen McDonough School of Business Georgetown University Washington, DC 20057 Tel: 202/687-3767 E-Mail: jbj24@georgetown.edu Peter K. Schott Yale School of Management 135 Prospect Street New Haven, CT 06520-8200 Tel: 203/436-4260 Fax: 203/432-6974 E-Mail: peter.schott@yale.edu AB - We examine the relationship between import competition from low wage countries and the reallocation of US manufacturing from 1977 to 1997. Both employment and output growth are slower for plants that face higher levels of low wage import competition in their industry. As a result, US manufacturing is reallocated over time towards industries that are more capital and skill intensive. Differential growth is driven by a combination of increased plant failure rates and slower growth of surviving plants. Within industries, low wage import competition has the strongest effects on the least capital and skill intensive plants. Surviving plants that switch industries move into more capital and skill intensive sectors when they face low wage competition. ER -