TY - JOUR AU - Gowrisankaran,Gautam AU - Holmes,Thomas J. TI - Do Mergers Lead to Monopoly in the Long Run? Results from the Dominant Firm Model JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9151 PY - 2002 Y2 - September 2002 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9151 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9151.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Gautam Gowrisankaran Professor of Economics Department of Economics University of Arizona P.O. Box 210108 Tucson, AZ 85721-0108 Tel: 520/621-2529 Fax: 520/621-8450 E-Mail: gowrisankaran@eller.arizona.edu Thomas J. Holmes Department of Economics University of Minnesota 4-101 Hanson Hall 1925 Fourth Street South Minneapolis, MN 55455 Tel: 612/625-4512 Fax: 612/624-0209 E-Mail: holmes@umn.edu AB - Will an industry with no antitrust policy converge to monopoly, competition, or somewhere in between? We analyze this question using a dynamic dominant firm model with rational agents, endogenous mergers, and constant returns to scale production. We find that perfect competition and monopoly are always steady states of this model, and that there may be other steady states with a dominant firm and a fringe co-existing. Mergers are likely only when supply is inelastic or demand is elastic, suggesting that the ability of a dominant firm to raise price, through monopolization is limited. Additionally, as the discount factor increases, it becomes harder to monopolize the industry, because the dominant firm cannot commit to not raising prices in the future. ER -