TY - JOUR AU - Ehrenberg,Ronald G. AU - Ehrenberg,Randy A. AU - Smith,Christopher L. AU - Zhang,Liang TI - Why Do School District Budget Referenda Fail? JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9088 PY - 2002 Y2 - August 2002 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9088 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9088.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Ronald G. Ehrenberg Cornell Higher Education Research Institute 271 Ives Hall East Ithaca, NY 14853-3901 Tel: 607/255-3026 Fax: 607 255 4496 E-Mail: rge2@cornell.edu Christopher Smith Federal Reserve Board Research Division Stop # 80 20th & C Sts., NW Washington, DC 20551-0001 E-Mail: Christopher.L.Smith@frb.gov Liang Zhang E-Mail: lz33@cornell.edu AB - Our paper analyzes historical data for New York State on the percentagee of school budget proposals that are defeated each year and panel data that we have collected on budget vote success for indvidual school districts in the state. We find that changes in state aid matter, but not as much as one might expect. Defeating a budget proposal in one year neither increases nor decreases the likelihood that voters will defeat a proposal the next year. Districts whose school board members have longer terms have lower probabilities of having their budget proposals defeated. Finally, measures of school district educational and financial performance do not appear to influence budget vote outcomes. ER -