TY - JOUR AU - Bernard,Andrew B. AU - Jensen,J. Bradford TI - The Deaths of Manufacturing Plants JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 9026 PY - 2002 Y2 - June 2002 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9026 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w9026.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Andrew Bernard Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth 100 Tuck Hall Hanover, NH 03755 Tel: 603/646-0302 Fax: 603/646-0995 E-Mail: Andrew.B.Bernard@dartmouth.edu J. Bradford Jensen McDonough School of Business Georgetown University Washington, DC 20057 Tel: 202/687-3767 E-Mail: jbj24@georgetown.edu AB - This paper examines the causes of manufacturing plant deaths within and across industries in the U.S. from 1977-1997. The effects of international competition from low wage countries, exporting, ownership structure, product diversity, productivity, geography, and plant characteristics are considered. The probability of shutdowns is higher in industries that face increased competition from low-income countries, especially for low-wage, labor-intensive plants within those industries. Conditional on industry and plant characteristics, closures occur more often at plants that are part of a multi-plant firm and at plants that have recently experienced a change in ownership. Plants owned by U.S. multinationals are more likely to close than similar plants at non-multinational firms. Exits occur less frequently at multi-product plants, at exporters, at plants that pay above average wages, and at large, older, more productive and more capital-intensive plants. ER -