TY - JOUR AU - Liu,Jun AU - Longstaff,Francis A. AU - Mandell,Ravit E. TI - The Market Price of Credit Risk: An Empirical Analysis of Interest Rate Swap Spreads JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 8990 PY - 2002 Y2 - June 2002 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8990 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8990.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Jun Liu Rady School of Management UCSD Pepper Canyon Hall Room 320 9500 Gilman Dr MC 0093 La Jolla CA 92093 Tel: 310/825-4083 E-Mail: junliu@ucsd.edu Francis Longstaff UCLA Anderson Graduate School of Management 110 Westwood Plaza, Box 951481 Los Angeles, CA 90095-1481 Tel: 310/825-2218 Fax: 310/206-5455 E-Mail: francis.longstaff@anderson.ucla.edu AB - This paper studies the market price of credit risk incorporated into one of the most important credit spreads in the financial markets: interest rate swap spreads. Our approach consists of jointly modeling the swap and Treasury term structures using a general five-factor affine credit framework and estimating the parameters by maximum likelihood. We solve for the implied special financing rate for Treasury bonds and find that the liquidity component of on-the-run bond prices can be significant. We also find that credit premia in swap spreads are positive on average. These premia, however, vary significantly over time and were actually negative for much of the 1990s. ER -