TY - JOUR AU - Hines,James R.,Jr. TI - On the Timeliness of Tax Reform JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 8909 PY - 2002 Y2 - April 2002 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8909 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8909.pdf N1 - Author contact info: James R. Hines Department of Economics University of Michigan 343 Lorch Hall 611 Tappan Street Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1220 Tel: 734/764-2320 Fax: 734/764-2769 E-Mail: jrhines@umich.edu AB - This paper analyzes efficient reactions of policy makers to unanticipated tax avoidance. The strategy of many governments is to reform their tax laws and regulations to reduce the effectiveness of elaborate tax avoidance techniques as soon as they are identified. This tax reform process can successfully prevent the widespread use of new tax avoidance strategies, and in that way prevents erosion of the tax base. But it also encourages the rapid development of new tax avoidance techniques by innovators whose competitors are thereby unable to copy their methods -- as a consequence of which, there can be a great premium on being the first to develop and use a new tax avoidance method. An activist reform agenda may therefore divert greater resources into tax avoidance activity, and lead to a faster rate of tax base erosion, than would a less reactive government strategy. Efficient government policy therefore often entails a slow and deliberate pace of tax reform in response to taxpayer innovation. ER -