TY - JOUR AU - Baker,Michael AU - Gruber,Jonathan AU - Milligan,Kevin TI - The Retirement Incentive Effects of Canada's Income Security Programs JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 8658 PY - 2001 Y2 - December 2001 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8658 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8658.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Michael Baker Department of Economics University of Toronto 150 St. George Street Toronto, ON M5S 3G7 CANADA Tel: 416/978-4138 Fax: 416/978-6713 E-Mail: baker@chass.utoronto.ca Jonathan Gruber MIT Department of Economics E52-355 50 Memorial Drive Cambridge, MA 02142-1347 Tel: 617/253-8892 Fax: 617/253-1330 E-Mail: gruberj@mit.edu Kevin S. Milligan Department of Economics University of British Columbia #997-1873 East Mall Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z1 CANADA Tel: 604/822-6747 Fax: 604/822-5915 E-Mail: kevin.milligan@ubc.ca AB - Like most other developed nations, Canada has a large income security system for retirement that provides significant and widely varying disincentives to work at older ages. Empirical investigation of their effects has been hindered by lack of appropriate data. We provide an empirical analysis of the retirement incentives of the Canadian Income Security (IS) system using a new and comprehensive administrative data base. We find that the work disincentives inherent in the Canadian IS system have large and statistically significant impacts on retirement. This suggests that program reform can some play a role in responses to the fiscal crises these programs periodically experience. We also demonstrate the importance of controlling for lifetime earnings in retirement models. Specifications without these controls overestimate the effects of the IS system. Finally, our estimates vary in sensible ways across samples lending greater confidence to our estimates. ER -