TY - JOUR AU - Bar-Ilan,Avner AU - Sacerdote,Bruce TI - The Response to Fines and Probability of Detection in a Series of Experiments JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 8638 PY - 2001 Y2 - December 2001 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8638 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8638.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Bruce Sacerdote 6106 Rockefeller Hall Department of Economics Dartmouth College Hanover, NH 03755-3514 Tel: 603/646-2121 Fax: 603/646-2122 E-Mail: Bruce.I.Sacerdote@dartmouth.edu AB - We use traffic data from a series of experiments in the United States and Israel to examine how illegal behavior is deterred by various penalty schemes and whether deterrence varies with age, income, driving record and criminal record. We find that red light running decreases sharply in response to an increase in the fine or an increase in the probability of being caught. The elasticity of violations with respect to the fine is larger for younger drivers and drivers with older cars. Drivers convicted of violent offenses or property offenses run more red lights on average but have the same elasticity as drivers without a criminal record. Within Israel, members of ethnic minority groups have the smallest elasticity with respect to a fine increase. ER -