TY - JOUR AU - Clarida,Richard TI - The Empirics of Monetary Policy Rules in Open Economies JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 8603 PY - 2001 Y2 - November 2001 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8603 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8603.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Richard H. Clarida Columbia University 420 West 118th Street Room 1111, IAB New York, NY 10027 Tel: 212/854-3676 Fax: 212/854-8059 E-Mail: rhc2@columbia.edu AB - This paper was prepared as a Keynote Address for the ESRC Conference on the Future of Macroeconomics held at the Bank of England Conference Center on April 14, 2000. It uses the empirical framework for formulating and estimating forward looking monetary policy rules developed in Clarida, Gali, Gertler (1998; 1999; 2000;2001) and Clarida (2000) to assess what we know, don't know, and can't tell about monetary policy making in an open economy with an (implicit) inflation target. Among the issues discussed are: the relationship between structural VAR models of monetary policy and exchange rates and estimates of forward looking Taylor rules; the relationship between inflation targeting and leaning against the (exchange rate) wind; why central bankers are averse to even wide - band target zones; quantifying that stresses and costs of a one size fits all monetary policy for the members of a monetary union or currency bloc. ER -