TY - JOUR AU - Chan,Konan AU - Chan,Louis K. C. AU - Jegadeesh,Narasimhan AU - Lakonishok,Josef TI - Earnings Quality and Stock Returns JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 8308 PY - 2001 Y2 - May 2001 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8308 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8308.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Louis Chan Department of Finance University of Illinois 113 Commerce West, MC 706 1206 S. Sixth Champaign, IL 61820 Tel: 217/333-6391 E-Mail: l-chan2@uiuc.edu Narasimhan Jegadeesh Goizueta Business School Emory University 1300 Clifton Road Suite 507 Atlanta, GA 30322 Tel: 404/727-4821 E-Mail: narasimhan_jegadeesh@bus.emory.edu Josef Lakonishok University of Illinois, Department of Finance College of Commerce & Business Administration 1206 S. Sixth Street Champaign, IL 61820 Tel: 217/333-7185 Fax: 217/244-1151 E-Mail: jlakonishok@yahoo.com AB - An exclusive focus on bottom-line income misses important information about the quality of earnings. Accruals (the difference between accounting earnings and cash flow) are reliably, negatively associated with future stock returns. Earnings increases that are accompanied by high accruals, suggesting low-quality earnings, are associated with poor future returns. We explore various hypotheses -- earnings manipulation, extrapolative biases about future growth, and under-reaction to business conditions -- to explain accruals' predictive power. Distinctions between the hypotheses are based on evidence from operating performance, the behavior of individual accrual items, and discretionary versus nondiscretionary components of accruals. ER -