TY - JOUR AU - Ireland,Peter N. TI - Money's Role in the Monetary Business Cycle JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 8115 PY - 2001 Y2 - February 2001 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8115 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w8115.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Peter N. Ireland Boston College Department of Economics 140 Commonwealth Ave. Chestnut Hill, MA 02467-3859 Tel: 617/552-3687 Fax: 617/552-2308 E-Mail: irelandp@bc.edu AB - A small, structural model of the monetary business cycle implies that real money balances enter into a correctly-specified, forward-looking IS curve if and only if they enter into a correctly-specified, forward-looking Phillips curve. The model also implies that empirical measures of real balances must be adjusted for shifts in money demand to accurately isolate and quantify the dynamic effects of money on output and inflation. Maximum likelihood estimates of the model's parameters take both of these considerations into account, but still suggest that money plays a minimal role in the monetary business cycle. ER -