TY - JOUR AU - Svensson,Lars E.O. TI - The Zero Bound in an Open Economy: A Foolproof Way of Escaping from a Liquidity Trap JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7957 PY - 2000 Y2 - October 2000 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7957 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7957.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Lars E.O. Svensson Sveriges Riksbank SE-103 37 Stockholm SWEDEN Tel: +46 8 787 0107 Fax: +46 8 21 0531 E-Mail: lars.svensson@iies.su.se AB - The paper examines the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in an open economy with and without a binding zero bound on nominal interest rates. In particular, a foolproof way of escaping from a liquidity trap is presented, consisting of a price-level target path, a devaluation of the currency and a temporary exchange rate peg, which is later abandoned in favor of price-level or inflation targeting when the price-level target has been reached. This will jump-start the economy and escape deflation by a real depreciation of the domestic currency, a lower long real interest rate, and increased inflation expectations. The abandonment of the exchange-rate peg and the shift to price-level or inflation targeting will avoid the risk of overheating. Some conclusions for Japan are included. ER -