@techreport{NBERw7953, title = "Indicator Variables for Optimal Policy", author = "Lars E.O. Svensson and Michael Woodford", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "7953", year = "2000", month = "October", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w7953", abstract = {The optimal weights on indicators in models with partial information about the state of the economy and forward-looking variables are derived and interpreted, both for equilibria under discretion and under commitment. An example of optimal monetary policy with a partially observable potential output and a forward-looking indicator is examined. The optimal response to the optimal estimate of potential output displays certainty-equivalence, whereas the optimal response to the imperfect observation of output depends on the noise in this observation.}, }