TY - JOUR AU - Antweiler,Werner AU - Trefler,Daniel TI - Increasing Returns and All That: A View From Trade JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7941 PY - 2000 Y2 - October 2000 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7941 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7941.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Werner Antweiler University of British Columbia Sauder School of Business 2053 Main Mall Vancouver, B.C., Canada, V6T 1Z2 E-Mail: werner.antweiler@ubc.ca Daniel Trefler Rotman School of Management University of Toronto 105 St. George Street Toronto, ON M5S 3E6 CANADA Tel: 416/946-7945 Fax: 416/978-5433 E-Mail: dtrefler@rotman.utoronto.ca AB - Do scale economies contribute to our understanding of international trade? Do international trade flows encode information about the extent of scale economies? To answer these questions we examine the large class of general equilibrium theories that imply Helpman-Krugman variants of the Vanek factor content prediction. Using an ambitious database on output, trade flows, and factor endowments, we find that scale economies significantly increase our understanding of the sources of comparative advantage. Further, the Helpman-Krugman framework provides a remarkable lens for viewing the general equilibrium scale elasticities encoded in trade flows. In particular, we find that a third of all goods-producing industries are characterized by scale. (The modal range of scale elasticities for this group is 1.10-1.20 and the economy-wide scale elasticity is 1.05.) Implications are drawn for the trade-and-wages debate (skill-biased scale effects) and endogenous growth. ER -