TY - JOUR AU - Ball,Laurence TI - Policy Rules and External Shocks JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7910 PY - 2000 Y2 - September 2000 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7910 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7910.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Laurence M. Ball Department of Economics Johns Hopkins University Baltimore, MD 21218 Tel: 410/516-7605 Fax: 410/516-7600 E-Mail: lball@jhu.edu AB - This essay discusses rules for monetary policy in open economies. If policymakers seek to stabilize output and inflation, optimal rules in open economies differ considerably from optimal rules in closed economies. In open economies, stability is best achieved by targeting long-run inflation' a measure of inflation adjusted to remove transitory effects of exchange-rate movements. Stability is also enhanced by adding an exchange-rate term to "Taylor rules" for setting interest rates. Finally, central banks must choose whether their policy instrument is an interest rate or a "monetary conditions index": an average of the interest rate and the exchange rate. The nature of shocks to the exchange rate determines which of these choices keeps output and inflation more stable. ER -