TY - JOUR AU - Laibson,David AU - Repetto,Andrea AU - Tobacman,Jeremy TI - A Debt Puzzle JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7879 PY - 2000 Y2 - September 2000 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7879 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7879.pdf N1 - Author contact info: David Laibson Department of Economics Littauer M-12 Harvard University Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/496-3402 Fax: 617/495-8570 E-Mail: dlaibson@gmail.com Andrea Repetto University of Chile E-Mail: no email available Jeremy Tobacman Business and Public Policy Department 1459 Steinberg Hall-Dietrich Hall 3620 Locust Walk The Wharton School University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, PA 19104-6372 Tel: 215/898-9450 Fax: 215/898-7635 E-Mail: tobacman@wharton.upenn.edu AB - Over 60% of US households with credit cards are currently borrowing -- i.e., paying interest -- on those cards. We attempt to reconcile the high rate of credit card borrowing with observed levels of life cycle wealth accumulation. We simulate a lifecycle model with five properties that create demand for credit card borrowing. First, the calibrated labor income path slopes upward early in life. Second, income has transitory shocks. Third, consumers invest actively in an illiquid asset, which is sufficiently illiquid that it can not be used to smooth transitory income shocks. Fourth, consumers may declare bankruptcy, reducing the effective cost of credit card borrowing. Fifth, households have relatively more dependents early in the life-cycle. Our calibrated model predicts that 20% of the population will borrow on their credit card at any point in time, far less than the observed rate of over 60%. We identify a resolution to this puzzle: hyperbolic time preferences. Simulated hyperbolic consumers borrow actively in the revolving credit card market and accumulate relatively large stocks of illiquid wealth, matching observed data. ER -