TY - JOUR AU - Borenstein,Severin AU - Bushnell,James AU - Wolak,Frank TI - Diagnosing Market Power in California's Restructured Wholesale Electricity Market JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7868 PY - 2000 Y2 - September 2000 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7868 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7868.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Severin Borenstein Haas School of Business University of California, Berkeley Berkeley, CA 94720-1900 Tel: 510/642-3689 E-Mail: borenste@haas.berkeley.edu James B. Bushnell Department of Economics One Shields Ave. University of California, Davis Davis, CA 95168 Tel: 530/752-3129 E-Mail: jbbushnell@ucdavis.edu Frank A. Wolak Department of Economics Stanford University Stanford, CA 94305-6072 Tel: 650/723-3944 Fax: 650/725-5702 E-Mail: wolak@zia.stanford.edu AB - Effective competition in wholesale electricity markets is a necessary feature of a successful electricity supply industry restructuring. We examine the degree of competition in the California wholesale electricity market during the period June 1998 to September 1999 by comparing the market prices with estimates of the prices that would have resulted if owners of instate fossil fuel generating facilities behaved as price takers. We find that there were significant departures from competitive pricing and that these departures are most pronounced during the highest demand periods, which tend to occur during the months of July through September. Through most of the winter and spring of 1999 there was little evidence of the exercise of market power. Overall, the exercise of market power raised the cost of power purchases by about 16% above the competitive level. Following the presentation of our methodology for computing the counterfactual price-taking market price, we describe why our calculation represents a lower bound on the extent of market power and why the observed market prices cannot by attributed to competitive peak-lead pricing. ER -