TY - JOUR AU - Kraay,Aart AU - Loayza,Norman AU - Serven,Luis AU - Ventura,Jaume TI - Country Portfolios JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7795 PY - 2000 Y2 - July 2000 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7795 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7795.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Aart Kraay The World Bank Group Mail Stop MC3-301 1818 H Street NW Washington, DC 20433 Tel: 202 473-5756 Fax: 202 522-3518 E-Mail: AKraay@worldbank.org Norman Loayza The World Bank 1818 H St., NW Washington, DC 20433 E-Mail: nloayza@worldbank.org Luis Serven The World Bank 1818 H St NW Washington DC 20433 Tel: 202 473 7451 E-Mail: lserven@worldbank.org Jaume Ventura CREI Universitat Pompeu Fabra Ramon Trias Fargas, 25-27 08005-Barcelona SPAIN Tel: +34 93 542 1765 Fax: +34 93 542 1860 E-Mail: jventura@crei.cat AB - How do countries hold their financial wealth? We construct a new database of countries' claims on capital located at home and abroad, and international borrowing and lending, covering 68 countries from 1966 to 1997. We find that a small amount of capital flows from rich countries to poor countries. Countries' foreign asset positions are remarkably persistent, and mostly take the form of foreign loans rather than foreign equity. To interpret these facts, we build a simple model of international capital flows that highlights the interplay between diminishing returns, production risk and sovereign risk. We show that in the presence of reasonable diminishing returns and production risk, the probability that international crises occur twice a century is enough to generate a set of country portfolios that are roughly consistent with the data. ER -