@techreport{NBERw7750, title = "Determinants of Long-Term Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach", author = "Gernot Doppelhofer and Ronald I. Miller and Xavier Sala-i-Martin", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "7750", year = "2000", month = "June", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w7750", abstract = {This paper examines the robustness of explanatory variables in cross-country economic growth regressions. It employs a novel approach, Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE), which constructs estimates as a weighted average of OLS estimates for every possible combination of included variables. The weights applied to individual regressions are justified on Bayesian grounds in a way similar to the well-known Schwarz criterion. Of 32 explanatory variables we find 11 to be robustly partially correlated with long-term growth and another five variables to be marginally related. Of all the variables considered, the strongest evidence is for the initial level of real GDP per capita.}, }