TY - JOUR AU - McCallum,Bennett T. TI - Theoretical Analysis Regarding a Zero Lower Bound on Nominal Interest Rates JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7677 PY - 2000 Y2 - April 2000 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7677 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7677.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Bennett T. McCallum Tepper School of Business, Posner 256 Carnegie Mellon University Pittsburgh, PA 15213 Tel: 412/268-2347 Fax: 412/268-6830 E-Mail: bm05@andrew.cmu.edu AB - This paper explores several issues concerning a possible zero lower bound (ZLB) including its theoretical rationale; the magnitude of effects of low sustained inflation on real interest rates; the validity of analyzing monetary policy in models with no monetary variables; and the dynamic stabilizing properties of Taylor rules in a ZLB context. The most important argument, however, is that if the short nominal rate is immobilized at zero, there nevertheless exists a route for monetary stabilization policy to be effective--- via the foreign exchange market. Its quantitative importance is examined in a calibrated, optimizing, open-economy model. ER -