TY - JOUR AU - Auerbach,Alan J. AU - Feenberg,Daniel TI - The Significance of Federal Taxes as Automatic Stabilizers JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7662 PY - 2000 Y2 - April 2000 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7662 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7662.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Alan J. Auerbach Department of Economics 508-1 Evans Hall, #3880 University of California, Berkeley Berkeley, CA 94720-3880 Tel: 510/643-0711 Fax: 510/643-0413 E-Mail: auerbach@econ.berkeley.edu Daniel R. Feenberg National Bureau of Economic Research 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/588-0343 Fax: 617/868-2742 E-Mail: feenberg@nber.org AB - Using the TAXSIM model for the period 1962-95, we consider the federal tax system's impact as an automatic stabilizer. Despite the many changes in the tax system, there has been relatively little change in its role as an automatic stabilizer. We estimate that individual federal taxes offset perhaps as much as 8 percent of initial shocks to GDP. We also suggest that the progressive income tax may help to stabilize output via its effect on the supply of labor, an additional effect that may even be of similar magnitude to the more traditional path of stabilization through aggregate demand. ER -