NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Medium-Term Determinants of Current Accounts in Industrial and Developing Countries: An Empirical Exploration

Menzie D. Chinn, Eswar S. Prasad

NBER Working Paper No. 7581
Issued in March 2000
NBER Program(s):   IFM

This paper provides an empirical investigation of the medium-term determinants of current accounts for a large sample of industrial and developing countries. The analysis is based on a structural approach that highlights the roles of the fundamental macroeconomic determinants of saving and investment. Cross-section and panel regression techniques are used to characterize the properties of current account variation across countries and over time. We find that current account balances are positively correlated with government budget balances and initial stocks of net foreign assets. Among developing countries, measures of financial deepening are positively associated with current account balances while indicators of openness to international trade are negatively correlated with current account balances.

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Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w7581

Published: Chinn, Menzie D. and Eswar S. Prasad. "Medium-term Determinants Of Current Accounts In Industrial And Developing Countries: An Empirical Exploration," Journal of International Economics, 2003, v59(1,Jan), 47-76. citation courtesy of

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