TY  - JOUR
AU  - Card,David
AU  - DiNardo,John E.
TI  - Do Immigrant Inflows Lead to Native Outflows?
JF  - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series
VL  - No. 7578
PY  - 2000
Y2  - March 2000
UR  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7578
L1  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7578.pdf
N1  - Author contact info:
David Card
Department of Economics
549 Evans Hall, #3880
University of California, Berkeley
Berkeley, CA  94720-3880
Tel: 510/642-5222
Fax: 510/643-7042
E-Mail: card@econ.berkeley.edu

John DiNardo
Ford School of Public Policy
5238 Weill Hall
University of Michigan
Ann Arbor, MI  48109-3091
Tel: 734/647-7843
Fax: 734/763-9181
E-Mail: jdinardo@umich.edu
AB  - We use 1980 and 1990 Census data for 119 larger Metropolitan Statistical Areas to examine the effect of skill-group specific immigrant inflows on the location decisions of natives in the same skill group, and on the overall distribution of human capital.  To control for unobserved skill-group specific demand factors, our models include lagged mobility flows of natives over the 1970-80 period.  We also estimate instrumental variables models that use the fraction of Mexican immigrants in 1970 to predict skill-group specific relative immigrant inflows over the 1980s.  Despite wide variation across cities in the size and relative skill composition of immigrant population changes we find no evidence of selective out-migration by natives.  We conclude that immigrant inflows exert a direct effect on the relative skill composition of cities: cities that have received relatively unskilled immigrant flows have experienced proportional rises in the size of their unskilled populations.
ER  -