TY - JOUR AU - Gruber,Jonathan TI - Tax Subsidies for Health Insurance: Evaluating the Costs and Benefits JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7553 PY - 2000 Y2 - February 2000 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7553 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7553.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Jonathan Gruber MIT Department of Economics E52-355 50 Memorial Drive Cambridge, MA 02142-1347 Tel: 617/253-8892 Fax: 617/253-1330 E-Mail: gruberj@mit.edu AB - The continued rise in the number of non-elderly Americans without health insurance has led to considerable interest in tax-based policies to raise the level of insurance coverage. This paper describes a detailed microsimulation model that has been developed to evaluate such tax-based polices, and its findings for the impact of polices on government costs and insurance coverage. I find that while tax subsidies could significantly increase insurance coverage, even very generous tax policies could not cover more than a sizable minority of the uninsured population. But there are several design features which can clearly make tax policy more effective: using tax credits rather than deductions; making credits refundable; and addressing the timing mismatch between when insurance purchases are made and tax refunds are received. I also document a clear tradeoff between the scope of tax subsidies and their efficiency. ER -