TY - JOUR AU - Rousseau,Peter L. AU - Sylla,Richard TI - Emerging Financial Markets and Early U.S. Growth JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7448 PY - 1999 Y2 - December 1999 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7448 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7448.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Peter L. Rousseau Department of Economics Vanderbilt University VU Station B #351819 2301 Vanderbilt Place Nashville, TN 37235-1819 Tel: 615/343-2466 E-Mail: peter.l.rousseau@vanderbilt.edu Richard Sylla Stern School of Business, Economics New York University 44 West 4th Street New York, NY 10012-1126 Tel: 212/998-0869 Fax: 212/995-4218 E-Mail: RSYLLA@STERN.NYU.EDU AB - Studies of early U.S. growth traditionally have emphasized real-sector explanations for an acceleration that by many accounts became detectable between 1815 and 1840. Interestingly, the establishment of the nation's basic financial structure predated by three decades the canals, railroads, and widespread use of water and steam-powered machinery that are thought to have triggered modernization. We argue that this innovative and expanding financial system, by providing debt and equity financing to businesses and governments as new technologies emerged, was central to the nation's early growth and modernization. The analysis includes a set of multivariate time series models that relate measures of banking and equity market activity to measures of investment, imports and business incorporations from 1790 to 1850. The findings offer support for our hypothesis of finance-led' growth in the U.S. case. By implication, the interest today in improving financial systems as a means of fostering sustainable growth is not misplaced. ER -