TY - JOUR AU - Abraham,Jean AU - Arora,Ashish AU - Gaynor,Martin AU - Wholey,Douglas TI - Enter at Your Own Risk: HMO Participation and Enrollment in the MedicareRisk Market JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7385 PY - 1999 Y2 - October 1999 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7385 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7385.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Jean Abraham Department of Health Policy and Management University of Minnesota 20 Delaware St SE MMC 729 Minneapolis, MN 55455 E-Mail: abrah042@umn.edu Ashish Arora Fuqua School of Business Duke University Box 90120 Durham, NC 27708-0120 Tel: 919 660 7746 Fax: 919 684-2818 E-Mail: ashish.arora@duke.edu Martin Gaynor Heinz College Carnegie Mellon University 4800 Forbes Avenue,,Room 3008 Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890 Tel: 412/268-7933 Fax: 412/268-5338 E-Mail: mgaynor@cmu.edu Douglas Wholey Health Services Research and Policy School of Public Health University of Minnesota Mayo Mail Code 729, 420 Delaware Street S.E. Minneapolis, MN 55455-0392 E-Mail: whole001@umn.edu AB - We examine HMO participation and enrollment in the Medicare risk market for the years 1990 to 1995. We develop a profit- maximization model of HMO behavior, which explicitly considers potential linkages between an HMO's production decision in the commercial enrollee market and its participation and production decisions in the Medicare risk market. Our results suggest that the payment rate is a primary determinant of HMO participation, while the price of a supplemental Medicare insurance policy positively affects HMO Medicare enrollment. We also find empirical support for the existence of complementarities in the joint production of an HMO's commercial and Medicare products. ER -