TY - JOUR AU - Obstfeld,Maurice AU - Rogoff,Kenneth TI - New Directions for Stochastic Open Economy Models JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7313 PY - 1999 Y2 - August 1999 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7313 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7313.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Maurice Obstfeld Department of Economics University of California, Berkeley 530 Evans Hall #3880 Berkeley, CA 94720-3880 Tel: 510/643-9646 Fax: 510/642-6615 E-Mail: obstfeld@econ.berkeley.edu Kenneth S. Rogoff Thomas D Cabot Professor of Public Policy Economics Department Harvard University Littauer Center 216 Cambridge, MA 02138-3001 Tel: 617-495-4022 Fax: 617/495-7730 E-Mail: krogoff@harvard.edu AB - The paper develops a simple stochastic new open economy macroeconomic model based on sticky nominal wages. Explicit solution of the wage-setting problem under uncertainty allows one to analyze the effects of the monetary regime on welfare, expected output, and the expected terms of trade. Despite the potential interplay between imperfections due to sticky wages and monopoly, the optimal monetary policy rule has a closed-form solution. To motivate our model, we show that observed correlations between terms of trade and exchange rates are more consistent with our traditional assumptions about nominal rigidities than with a popular alternative based on local-currency pricing. ER -