TY - JOUR AU - Jones,Charles I. AU - Williams,John C. TI - Too Much of a Good Thing? The Economics of Investment in R&D JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 7283 PY - 1999 Y2 - August 1999 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7283 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w7283.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Charles I. Jones Graduate School of Business Stanford University 655 Knight Way Stanford, CA 94305-4800 Tel: 510/288-8650 Fax: 650/725-0468 E-Mail: chad.jones@stanford.edu John Williams Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Executive Offices 101 Market St. San Francisco, CA 94105 Tel: (415) 974-2121 E-Mail: john.c.williams@sf.frb.org AB - Research and development (R&D) is a key determinant of long run productivity and welfare. A central issue is whether a decentralized economy undertakes too little or too much R&D. We develop an endogenous growth model that incorporates parametrically four important distortions to R&D: the surplus appropriability problem, knowledge spillovers, creative destruction, and congestion externalities. We show that our model is consistent with the available evidence on R&D, growth, and markups. Calibrating the model to micro and macro data, we find that the decentralized economy typically underinvests in R&D relative to what is socially optimal. The only exceptions to this conclusion occur when both the congestion externality is extremely strong and the equilibrium real interest rate is very high. These results are robust to reasonable variations in model parameters. ER -